Training has gone well-ish recently. I had a couple of very good weeks, especially on the bike, a few average weeks and a few very poor weeks. Work and moving house have been the main cause of the poorer weeks. Motivation is also no where near last time. At the moment, I am absolutely shattered by the lack of a descent night’s sleep.
So where do I think I will be?
Swimming: I am around 10s – 20s per 400m slower than last year (based on 400m efforts this morning in a wetsuit – 5:44, 5:43 and 5:56 v 5:22, 5:35 and 5:36. That’s around two to three minutes slower than before.
Bike: I think I am about the same. 172W AP for a five hour ride this years, 170W last time. 2W is neither here-nor-there. However, I am less confident than before.
Run: I was 90s slower at the Reading half-marathon in March than last time. Double that and you get three minutes slower. But I’ve done less running since March and am less confident. Also, I have not got thinner (like I did last time), so that’s probably six minutes slower.
So, that’s roughly 10 minutes slower than before. But last time I had a problem with my front wheel which cost me 30 minutes. So, that’s 20 minutes quicker than last time – which would give me 11:48 if all goes well.